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Slight increase in consumer bankruptcies in the 1st quarter of 2023 in Berlin

08/22/2023 | by Patrick Fischer, M.Sc., Founder & Data Scientist: FDS

The Berlin-Brandenburg Statistics Office today published the latest data on consumer insolvencies in the first quarter of 2023. A total of 1,043 insolvency proceedings were filed against "other debtors" (including shareholders, formerly self-employed persons, consumers and estates) from January to March. This marks an increase of 2.6 percent compared to the previous year.

Outstanding accounts receivable for the period amounted to EUR 77.5 million, a decrease of 4.6 percent compared to the same period last year when accounts receivable amounted to EUR 81.2 million.

987 of the requested procedures were opened. In 40 cases, however, the case was dismissed for lack of assets, since the debtor's assets were not sufficient to cover the costs of the proceedings. In addition, 16 procedures were completed with the acceptance of a confirmed debt settlement plan.

The proceedings were spread across different groups of debtors. In the first quarter of 2023, a total of 286 insolvent former self-employed were recorded, which corresponds to an increase of 38.2 percent compared to 2022. The liabilities of this group increased by 4.0 percent to EUR 43.9 million. In contrast, 733 procedures were opened against consumers affected by insolvency, which represents a decrease of 7.2 percent compared to the previous year. The liabilities of this group fell by 8.8 percent to EUR 32.0 million. The average debt per consumer was around EUR 43,600, slightly below the level of the previous year.

Looking at consumer bankruptcies by district, most cases were recorded in Marzahn-Hellersdorf and Lichtenberg, with 98 and 82 applications, respectively. The lowest number of over-indebted people was reported in Steglitz-Zehlendorf with 36 cases. With regard to the average debt per consumer procedure, Charlottenburg-Wilmersdorf and Tempelhof-Schoeneberg stood out with values ​​of around EUR 87,100 and EUR 57,300, which clearly exceeded the state average.

An important comment on the interpretation of the data concerns the development of consumer insolvencies since mid-2020. This should be seen in connection with a change in the law that provides for a gradual reduction in residual debt discharge procedures from six to three years. This new regulation applies to consumer insolvency proceedings that have been filed since October 1, 2020. It enables those affected to start a new business faster after the insolvency proceedings have been completed. This could explain why many over-indebted private individuals temporarily withheld their bankruptcy applications in order to benefit from the new regulation. From the beginning of 2021, these "catch-up effects" led to a sharp increase in consumer bankruptcies, which has apparently leveled off in the meantime.

Overall, the figures for consumer bankruptcies in the first quarter of 2023 in Berlin illustrate the complex economic challenges faced by individuals and formerly self-employed in an ever-changing economic landscape.

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Despite the economic downturn, digital advertising continues to grow. PwC study forecasts revenues of US$663 billion from digital advertising by 2027

08/22/2023 | by Patrick Fischer, M.Sc., Founder & Data Scientist: FDS

Despite economic uncertainties, the digital advertising industry remains on an impressive growth trajectory. According to a recent study by PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC), global digital advertising revenues are expected to reach $663 billion by 2027. This encouraging scenario will particularly benefit companies that specialize in AI-powered solutions to automate and optimize digital marketing activities.

Last year, digital advertising proved to be a definitive growth factor in the entertainment and media industry. According to PwC's "Global Entertainment & Media Outlook 2023-2027," global revenues in this segment rose 8.0 percent to $484 billion in 2022. Although the pace of growth is expected to slow slightly in the coming years, the general upward trend will remain. PwC's estimates suggest that global Internet advertising revenue in the entertainment and media segment could grow at a compound annual growth rate of 6.5 percent through 2027, representing potential revenue of $663 billion.

Despite economic uncertainties, the digital advertising industry remains on an impressive growth trajectory. According to a recent study by PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC), global digital advertising revenues are expected to reach $663 billion by 2027. This encouraging scenario will particularly benefit companies that specialize in AI-powered solutions to automate and optimize digital marketing activities.

Last year, digital advertising proved to be a definitive growth factor in the entertainment and media industry. According to PwC's "Global Entertainment & Media Outlook 2023-2027," global revenues in this segment rose 8.0 percent to $484 billion in 2022. Although the pace of growth is expected to slow slightly in the coming years, the general upward trend will remain. PwC's estimates suggest that global Internet advertising revenue in the entertainment and media segment could grow at a compound annual growth rate of 6.5 percent through 2027, representing potential revenue of $663 billion.

The positive forecast is based on the adaptation of advertising practices to the time customers spend on social media platforms, in apps, on retail platforms and on gaming websites. Digital advertising is becoming smarter, more efficient, more targeted, and more focused on specific incentives to buy.

The growth in digital advertising is expected to continue

An additional growth driver in the digital advertising industry is artificial intelligence (AI). The study by SRH Berlin University of Applied Sciences shows that almost 95 percent of the marketing managers surveyed are convinced that AI will play an increasingly important role in marketing tasks in their companies. AI makes it possible not only to generate advertising content on platforms such as Amazon, Google, Facebook and Microsoft at lightning speed, but also to adapt it optimally to the individual needs of the user.

The digital advertising industry is thus not only demonstrating resilience in the face of economic turbulence, but is also being strengthened by innovative approaches and technologies such as artificial intelligence. This opens up opportunities for companies to benefit from continued growth and offer advanced solutions for the changing world of digital advertising.

In the past year, digital advertising proved to be a significant growth factor in the entertainment and media industry. According to PwC's "Global Entertainment & Media Outlook 2023-2027," global revenues in this segment grew 8.0 percent to $484 billion in 2022. Although the pace of growth is expected to slow slightly in the coming years, the general upward trend will remain. PwC's estimates suggest that global Internet advertising revenue in the entertainment and media segment could grow at a compound annual growth rate of 6.5 percent through 2027, representing potential revenues of $663 billion.

The positive forecast is based on the alignment of advertising practices with the amount of time customers spend on social media platforms, in apps, on retail platforms and on gaming websites. Digital advertising is becoming smarter, more efficient, more targeted, and more focused on specific incentives to buy.

The growth in digital advertising is expected to continue

An additional growth driver in the digital advertising industry is artificial intelligence (AI). The study by the SRH Berlin University of Applied Sciences shows that almost 95 percent of the marketing managers surveyed are convinced that AI will have an increasing significance for marketing tasks in their companies. AI makes it possible not only to generate advertising content on platforms such as Amazon, Google, Facebook and Microsoft at lightning speed, but also to adapt it optimally to the individual needs of the user.

The digital advertising industry is thus not only demonstrating resilience in the face of economic turbulence, but is also being strengthened by innovative approaches and technologies such as artificial intelligence. This opens up opportunities for companies to benefit from continued growth and offer advanced solutions for the changing world of digital advertising.

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Plagued by job frustration: One in two job changers quits within a year, as XING study suggests

08/22/2023 | by Patrick Fischer, M.Sc., Founder & Data Scientist: FDS

According to a recent study by the jobs network XING in collaboration with the market research institute Appinio, every second German quits his job within the first year. The reasons for this frustrating trend not only shed light on individual motives, but also reveal deeper problems in the local work culture.

There is often a wide gap between expectations and reality. Around three quarters of people in Germany have already been dissatisfied with a new job at some point, the study shows. But what is particularly remarkable is that 80 percent of those surveyed who quit their job in the first year do not regret this step. This apparent contradiction suggests a complex tension between working conditions and personal feelings.

The study identifies two main reasons for early quits: A salary perceived as too low and dissatisfaction with the manager. Both factors were cited as driving motives by 43 percent of respondents. Likewise, inappropriate or poor team cultures (34 percent) contribute to employees leaving their jobs early.

But it is not only financial aspects that influence job satisfaction. Dissatisfaction with work tasks (34 percent), excessive stress levels (30 percent) and excessive overtime (26 percent) also play a significant role. Dr. Julian Stahl, labor market expert at XING, emphasizes that it is often a combination of reasons that causes employees to change jobs after a short period of time.

Interestingly, differences between genders and generations emerge. Men are more likely to feel moved to quit because of a salary that is too low, while women have more nuanced motivations, such as dissatisfaction with their manager or the team culture. Generation Y is more inclined to quit early, while older generations such as baby boomers tend to hang on longer.

The consequences of this turnover should not be underestimated. In addition to personal consequences for employees and employers, the high number of early terminations leads to additional effort and costs. Dr. Julian Stahl emphasizes the "economic damage" caused by these frictional losses.

However, the study also offers possible solutions. Personalized job searches via XING, for example, enable users to communicate their wishes and requirements for an employer in a more targeted manner. This should help to ensure that candidates and employers are a better match. Active and passive job seekers alike can benefit from this new feature.

At a time when the job market is becoming increasingly dynamic, employers should be more responsive to the needs of their employees to minimize turnover. Ultimately, the study shows that better alignment between employees and employers not only promotes individual satisfaction, but also the country's economic stability.

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Inflation 6.2%: Inflation Rates and Effects on Different Income Levels

08/22/2023 | by Patrick Fischer, M.Sc., Founder & Data Scientist: FDS

Analysis of price developments and their impact on different income groups

Recent inflation rates of 6.2% highlight the economic challenges consumers are facing. However, the impact of inflation is not the same for all income groups. A detailed analysis, which takes into account the weighting of expenses for different categories, shows how different the burden can be depending on the income level.

Housing costs: A significant part of the budget

For incomes of €1500, €2000 and €2500 net, housing costs take up the largest part of the budget, which is weighted at 33%. The costs for rent, mortgages or ancillary costs are therefore decisive for the standard of living. With an income of €1500, the housing costs already account for €495, which represents a significant part of the budget. With higher incomes, this amount increases accordingly.

Transport: increasing mobility costs

The Transportation category, with a weighting of 13%, includes vehicle, fuel and transportation costs. With the recent price hike of 6%, people on lower incomes in particular may feel an increase in mobility costs. With an income of €1500, this corresponds to an additional charge of €11.70 per month.

Food and beverages: Basic needs more expensive

Food and beverage spending (10% weighting) is critical for all income groups. With a price increase of 11% compared to the previous year, consumers can budget for higher expenses for their basic needs. With an income of €1500, this means additional monthly costs of €16.50.

Entertainment and culture: Leisure activities are becoming more expensive

The entertainment, leisure and culture category (11% weighting) also shows price increases of 6%. Spending on activities such as cinema, concerts or sporting events could increase. With an income of €1500, this corresponds to a monthly additional burden of €9.90.

Impact on different income brackets

The above examples illustrate how inflation affects different income brackets. Lower-income people tend to be more affected by price increases because they have to spend a larger proportion of their budget on basic needs. An increase of 6.2% in different categories can result in additional monthly expenses of around €60 for an income of €1500, while the impact is less noticeable for an income of €2500.

It is important to consider these differences in the burden of inflation when policymakers and economists analyze the impact of price increases. Managing inflation and implementing policies to support lower-income households can help offset the financial burden and mitigate social inequalities.

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Career changer in IT? Why bloody programming beginners are NOT in demand on the job market

08/22/2023 | by Patrick Fischer, M.Sc., Founder & Data Scientist: FDS

In times of digital change, the IT industry is booming, and with it the demand for qualified specialists is growing. Lateral entry into information technology may seem tempting at first glance, but despite the alleged shortage of skilled workers, absolute beginners in the IT industry often encounter barriers. This article examines the reasons why inexperienced career changers are only in limited demand on the job market.

Challenges for career changers in IT

The IT industry has developed into an important driver of the economy and offers numerous career opportunities for specialists. The so-called "War for Talents" has prompted companies to find innovative ways to attract qualified employees. Nevertheless, career changers who want to enter the IT industry often face significant challenges.

1. Specific expertise and know-how

The IT world is known for its rapid development and constant change. In order to be successful in this dynamic environment, professionals need a deep understanding of programming languages, system architectures, databases and much more. Absolute beginners often do not have the necessary expertise and time to acquire this knowledge.

2. Lack of practical experience

Another obstacle for career changers is the lack of practical experience. Employers often require that applicants already have relevant projects and work samples to demonstrate their skills. This represents a major hurdle for newbies in the field of IT.

3. Fast innovation cycles

The IT industry is characterized by its rapid development and short innovation cycles. This means that even established professionals must constantly learn to stay up to date. It can be difficult for career changers to keep up with this pace.

4. Team dynamics and collaboration

IT work is often team-based, as complex projects require close collaboration. Career changers who come from completely different industries not only need to develop technical skills, but also be able to work effectively in interdisciplinary teams.

5. Relevance of certificates and degrees

Although the IT field is known for its openness to self-taught knowledge, formal qualifications such as degrees and certificates are still of great importance. Lateral entrants often have difficulties in meeting these requirements.

Conclusion: The path to IT requires specific preparation

Entering the IT industry from a different angle is undoubtedly possible, but requires extensive preparation and the will to continue training. The challenges for absolute beginners are real, but by no means insurmountable. A solid foundation in relevant skills, practical experience and a willingness to constantly adapt to new developments are essential.

Companies could also help facilitate the integration of lateral entrants by offering targeted training programs and internships to ease their transition into the IT industry. After all, a balanced mix of experienced specialists and motivated career changers could further strengthen the innovative power of the industry.

It is important to realize that the path into the IT industry, especially for complete beginners, can be challenging. But with the right approach, commitment and support, career changers could also make a valuable contribution to the dynamic world of information technology.

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