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Start-ups in Germany slump sharply - Inflation takes over what the virus failed to do

08/24/2023 | by Patrick Fischer, M.Sc., Founder & Data Scientist: FDS

An analysis of commercial register data shows that start-up activity in Germany has plummeted this year after the corona pandemic ended in 2022.

In recent years, Germany has experienced an unprecedented economic roller coaster ride, ranging from the corona pandemic to inflation. But while the pandemic has put many businesses to the test, and even forced some to close, inflation has managed to affect startup activity in the country in a very different way. A detailed analysis of commercial register data over the past five years sheds light on this remarkable trend.

A look at the data

The commercial register data show a significant decrease in the number of company start-ups in Germany since 2022. In particular in the years 2019, 2020 and 2021, the number of start-ups remained relatively stable, with fluctuations being recorded in the various calendar weeks. In 2019, the year started with 2,880 foundations in the 20th calendar week, but reached a low point of 2,354 foundations in the 25th calendar week before it rose again.

The post-pandemic tipping point

However, times changed after the end of the Corona pandemic in 2022. While the economic outlook was initially optimistic, analysis of the data for this year shows a striking void in start-up activity. Only 1,878 and 2,414 start-ups were recorded in calendar weeks 24 and 23, which represents a drastic decline compared to previous years, even if these figures do not include the start-up of associations. Post-pandemic uncertainty, coupled with economic uncertainties and rising inflation, seem to deter potential entrepreneurs.

Inflation as the new stumbling block

While the Corona pandemic has undoubtedly had a significant impact on business activity, it is worth noting that inflation has emerged as a new factor negatively affecting start-up activity in Germany. Inflation can increase the cost of starting a business as commodity, rent and labor prices rise. This could make budding entrepreneurs reluctant to start new businesses as economic uncertainty and rising costs pose a significant risk.

Outlook and challenges

Current data suggests that start-up activities in Germany are facing serious challenges. As the economic landscape continues to be characterized by uncertainty, it will be crucial for governments, business associations and companies alike to devise strategies to encourage entrepreneurship and support budding founders. The effects of inflation on start-up activity illustrate the need for a holistic approach to ensure economic stability and growth in Germany.

Overall, the analysis of the commercial register data makes it clear that start-up activity in Germany is influenced by a variety of factors, from the pandemic to inflation. The coming months and years will show whether and how Germany can overcome these challenges in order to stimulate start-up activities in the country again.

Foundation figures over the years

Year KW 20 KW 21 KW 22 KW 23 KW 24 KW 25 KW 26 KW 27 KW 28 KW 29 KW 30 KW 31 KW 32 KW 33
2019 2880 2746 2148 2708 2157 2354 2793 2785 2801 2770 2714 2770 2596 2692
2020 2697 2069 2625 2121 2237 2807 2840 3048 3034 2735 2954 2861 2682 2809
2021 3458 2744 2857 3467 3286 3266 3334 3181 3278 3068 3219 3046 2939 2992
2022 2344 2299 2708 2414 1878 2345 2372 1993 2138 2111 2431 - - -
2023 1692 1821 1327 1861 1604 1791 2235 1749 1703 1888 1755 1128 2294 819

Foundation figures chart

Data sources: Commercial Register 2019-2021, StartupDetector Newsletter 2022-2023 (excluding associations).

Note: Data missing for week 31-33/2022

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Why Artificial Intelligence will revolutionize the SaaS industry and B2B business

08/24/2023 | by Patrick Fischer, M.Sc., Founder & Data Scientist: FDS

In recent years, artificial intelligence (AI) has undergone a remarkable development and its influence on various industries cannot be overlooked. Particularly in the software-as-a-service (SaaS) and business-to-business (B2B) industries, it is evident that AI has revolutionary potential. In this article, we will explore the impact of AI on these sectors and why it will shape the future of these industries.

Personalization and customer experience:

Advancing AI is enabling greater personalization of services and products. In B2B business, personalized customer service is critical. AI-based systems can analyze customer behavior, understand preferences, and create personalized offers, leading to a significant improvement in customer experience. Companies can offer customized solutions to their customers, which promotes long-term business relationships and customer loyalty.

Increasing efficiency:

KI systems can automate complex tasks and streamline processes, leading to significant efficiency gains in SaaS and B2B businesses. By automating repetitive tasks, employees can focus on more demanding and strategic activities. This leads to faster decision-making processes and overall more efficient business operations.

Predictive analytics and business intelligence:

By analyzing big data, AI can generate valuable insights and predictions. In the SaaS industry, this enables better insight into user behavior, application performance, and identification of trends. In B2B, AI-powered analytics can help companies make informed decisions that lead to better market strategy and improved competitiveness.

Automated customer support:

Chatbots and virtual assistants are revolutionizing customer support in SaaS and B2B businesses. AI-powered chatbots can handle customer queries in real time, provide around-the-clock support, and answer frequently asked questions. This leads to faster response time and overall improved customer satisfaction.

Risk management and security:

In today's digital world, security and risk management are of paramount importance. AI can detect potential security threats, identify anomalies, and prevent data leaks. In the SaaS industry and B2B business, customer and partner data is invaluable, and AI-based security solutions provide robust protection against cyberattacks and data breaches.

Conclusion:

The combination of AI and the SaaS industry and B2B business is a winning partnership. AI's ability to improve personalization, efficiency, business intelligence, automated customer support, and security makes it an indispensable tool for companies seeking success in these industries. The continued development of AI technologies will undoubtedly lead to more breakthrough innovations and further revolutionize these industries. Companies that recognize and leverage the benefits of AI will gain a competitive advantage and solidify their position in the ever-changing business world.

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How investors can profit from the AI boom

08/17/2023 | by Patrick Fischer, M.Sc., Founder & Data Scientist: FDS

The rapid development of artificial intelligence (AI) has triggered a veritable boom in recent years and created a multitude of opportunities for investors. From self-driving cars to personalized medicine, AI is permeating nearly every sector and promises profound changes in the way we live, work and invest. In this article, we'll explore how investors can profit from the AI boom and what strategies can help make the most of the opportunities in this emerging market.

1. Understanding the AI Market

Before investors dive into the AI market, it is critical to develop a basic understanding of artificial intelligence and its various applications. AI encompasses technologies such as machine learning, neural networks and deep learning, which are used to identify patterns in large amounts of data and make predictions. Investors should familiarize themselves with the various AI subfields to identify which companies and technologies have the greatest potential.

2. Diversify investments

The AI market is diverse and spans a wide range of industries - from healthcare and finance to entertainment and agriculture. Investors should diversify their portfolios to take advantage of opportunities in different sectors while spreading risk. A mix of established AI companies and emerging startups can help maximize the potential for growth and innovation.

3. Identifying promising companies

Identifying promising companies in the AI space requires thorough research. Investors should evaluate a company's financial stability, management team, technological expertise, and past successes. Startups with innovative approaches could be the next big thing, while established tech giants are already integrating advanced AI solutions into their offerings.

4. Long-term perspective

The AI boom is not a short-term phenomenon, but a long-term trend that will last for many years. Investors should therefore take a long-term perspective and be patient. AI technologies often take time to reach full maturity and find market acceptance. Long-term investments can allow one to benefit from the gradual adoption and growth of AI.

5. Opportunities in data collection and processing

KI is heavily dependent on high-quality data. Investors could invest in companies that specialize in data collection, data processing and data analytics. These companies play an essential role in providing clean and relevant data, which is the foundation for successful AI applications.

6. Education and Networking

The AI market is constantly evolving, and investors should continually stay informed about the latest developments and trends. Educational events, conferences, and online resources can help keep knowledge of the AI sector up to date. Additionally, connecting with experts and industry insiders can provide valuable insights and potential investment opportunities.

Conclusion

The AI boom offers investors a wealth of opportunities to profit from the profound changes this transformative technology is bringing to various industries. A sound understanding of the AI market, smart diversification, thorough company selection, a long-term perspective, and exposure to data-related issues are key factors to best benefit from the AI boom. With careful research, patience, and a willingness to learn approach, investors can successfully capitalize on the emerging opportunities in the AI market.

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Difficult times for startups: challenges resemble those of the Corona era

08/16/2023 | by Patrick Fischer, M.Sc., Founder & Data Scientist: FDS

The rosy times for German startups appear to be passé as they struggle with a weak economy and tougher financing conditions. According to a Startup Association survey conducted by Deutsche Presse-Agentur, the business climate in the industry is at one of the lowest levels since the low point during the Corona pandemic in 2020, with the current score of 38.1 points only slightly higher than in 2020 (31.8 points). This continues a trend that has been seen since the record-breaking 2021.

The survey, which is based on a similar calculation method as the Ifo Institute, reflects a high level of uncertainty among founders. About 65 percent of the startups surveyed have difficulty assessing the future situation. Nevertheless, a slight increase in business expectations is evident, while the current business situation remains at the lowest level since the beginning of the pandemic.

The association stresses that after a wave of innovations that followed the shock of the pandemic in 2020, the current situation has become more difficult. Rising inflation and higher interest rates have led startups to act more cautiously. One-third of companies have reduced hiring and adjusted funding plans.

Since 2022, German startups have faced major challenges. While they were able to raise record amounts from investors in 2021, geopolitical tensions, rising interest rates and economic uncertainty have dampened the market. Investors are more cautious, resulting in many startups having to cut jobs and funding dropping dramatically in 2022. The situation remained tight in the first half of 2023, as startups raised about half the funding they did last year.

In particular, the ability to secure large funding rounds has declined sharply. There has not been a round over 250 million euros this year, compared to four such rounds in 2022 and eight in 2021, and the majority of founders rate the willingness of funders, particularly venture capital funds, as poor.

In view of these challenges, the startup association is calling for increased support from the German government. In particular, the expected "Future Financing Act" should be passed promptly to strengthen the location for founders. Among other things, this law should offer more favorable regulations for employee shareholdings and easier access to the capital market for growth-oriented companies. However, the implementation of this project has been delayed so far.

On Tuesday, the federal ministries of economics and finance announced that a new financing instrument called "RegioInnoGrowth" will support startups and small innovative SMEs. For this purpose, the federal government plans to provide up to 450 million euros from the Future Fund and the ERP Special Fund. Companies can each receive up to five million euros in funding.

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What is a no-go when starting a business?

08/07/2023 | by Patrick Fischer, M.Sc., Founder & Data Scientist: FDS

A startup "no-go" refers to an action, decision or condition that should generally be avoided because it has the potential to jeopardize the success or sustainable development of a business. Here are some examples of startup no-gos:

Inadequate market analysis:

If you don't have enough information about the market, the target group and the competitive situation, you run the risk of offering a product or service that does not have sufficient demand or is already saturated by other companies.

Inadequate financial planning: inadequate financial planning can result in not having enough capital to start the business or keep it going for the first few months or years. It is important to create a realistic budget and have adequate capital to cover unforeseen expenses.

Poor team management: an ineffective or inappropriate team can severely impact the success of a business. It's important to hire the right people with the right skills and attitude and create a collaborative and productive work environment.

Ignoring the legal framework: not paying attention to legal issues can lead to significant legal problems. It is important to be aware of all relevant laws and regulations, such as tax rules, business formation rules, labor laws, and intellectual property.

Failure to comply with legal requirements can lead to significant legal problems.

Failure to focus on customers: failing to pay sufficient attention to the needs and wants of customers can result in the company being uncompetitive. Customer feedback should be taken seriously in order to continuously improve products and services.

Missing flexibility: A lack of flexibility can lead to a lack of competitiveness.

Failure to be flexible: A rigid business plan or inability to adapt to changing market conditions can hinder the growth and development of the business. It is important to be flexible and ready to respond to change.

Neglect of marketing: even the best product or service will not be successful if people do not know about it. A poor marketing strategy or neglect of it can lead to low awareness, weak sales, and a lack of customer loyalty.

Marketing is the most important part of a business strategy.

It is important to note that the above items should not be considered absolute no-go's, but potential risk factors that should be avoided or minimized to maximize the chances of success when starting a business. Every business is unique, and there are no hard and fast rules that apply to all situations.

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