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How to perform the residual analysis in the regression analysis?

10/11/2023 | by Patrick Fischer, M.Sc., Founder & Data Scientist: FDS

Residual analysis is an important step in performing a regression analysis to assess the goodness of the model and identify potential problems. The residuals are the differences between the observed dependent variables and the predicted values ​​of the regression model.

Here are some steps to perform residual analysis in regression analysis:

Step: Estimate the regression model - Run the regression analysis and estimate the coefficients for the independent variables.

Step: Calculate the residuals - Subtract the predicted values ​​of the regression model from the observed values ​​of the dependent variable to get the residuals.

Step: Check the residual distribution - Check the distribution of the residuals to make sure they are approximately normally distributed. You can use histograms, Q-Q plots, or other graphical methods to check the distribution. A deviation from normality can indicate that the model is not appropriate or that additional transformations are needed.

Step: Examine Patterns - Examine the residuals for patterns to identify potential problems. Look for linear or nonlinear trends, heteroscedasticity (uneven variance), autocorrelation (dependence between the residuals), and outliers. You can create scatterplots of the residuals versus the independent variables or other variables of interest to identify such patterns.

Step: Correcting Problems - If you identify problems in the residual analysis, you may need to adjust the model. This may mean adding additional independent variables, applying transformations to variables, using robust standard errors, or considering other models.

Residual analysis is an iterative process and it may be necessary to repeat the steps multiple times to improve the model. It is important to review the assumptions of the regression analysis and make appropriate corrections where necessary to obtain accurate and reliable results.

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