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Who Can Create or Issue a Business Statement Analysis (BWA)?

03/01/2024 | by Patrick Fischer, M.Sc., Founder & Data Scientist: FDS

The creation and issuance of a business statement analysis (BWA) is a responsible task that requires specific expertise. The following individuals and institutions can or may create a BWA:

1. Tax Consultants and Auditors

Tax consultants and auditors are qualified experts in the field of business analysis. They have the necessary expertise to create and issue a BWA in accordance with legal requirements.

2. Internal Accounting Departments

Companies with internal accounting departments may also be authorized to create a BWA. It is important that employees have the necessary know-how and adhere to legal standards.

3. Business Consultants and Financial Experts

Business consultants and financial experts with solid knowledge in business administration may also be authorized to create and issue a BWA.

4. Management and Entrepreneurs

The management or the entrepreneur themselves may, in some cases, be authorized to create a BWA, especially in smaller companies. However, it is crucial to ensure that the relevant expertise is available.

It is of paramount importance that the created BWA complies with legal requirements and provides a reliable basis for business decisions. In many cases, consulting external experts such as tax consultants or auditors is recommended to ensure a high-quality and reliable BWA.

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Correlation in statistics

03/01/2024 | by Patrick Fischer, M.Sc., Founder & Data Scientist: FDS

Correlation describes the statistical relationship between two or more variables. It indicates the extent to which changes in one variable are associated with changes in another variable. A positive correlation means that increasing values in one variable are associated with increasing values in the other variable, while a negative correlation suggests that increasing values in one variable are associated with decreasing values in the other variable.

Measurement of Correlation:

There are various methods to measure correlation, with the Pearson correlation coefficient being one of the most common. The Pearson correlation coefficient (\(r\)) ranges from -1 to 1:

  • Positive Correlation (\(r = 1\)): A perfect positive linear relationship.
  • No Correlation (\(r = 0\)): No linear relationship between the variables.
  • Negative Correlation (\(r = -1\)): A perfect negative linear relationship.

Formula for Pearson Correlation Coefficient:

\[ r = \frac{\sum{(X_i - \bar{X})(Y_i - \bar{Y})}}{\sqrt{\sum{(X_i - \bar{X})^2} \cdot \sum{(Y_i - \bar{Y})^2}}} \]

where \(X_i\) and \(Y_i\) are individual data points, \(\bar{X}\) and \(\bar{Y}\) are the means of the variables.

Application Example:

Suppose we are examining the relationship between the time spent studying and the grades achieved. A positive Pearson correlation coefficient would indicate that more study time is associated with higher grades.

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Chi-Square Goodness of Fit Test in Statistics

03/01/2024 | by Patrick Fischer, M.Sc., Founder & Data Scientist: FDS

The Chi-Square Goodness of Fit test is a statistical method used to assess how well empirical data aligns with expected theoretical distributions. This test is often applied to categories or groups to check whether observed frequencies significantly deviate from expected frequencies.

Process of the Chi-Square Goodness of Fit Test:

  1. Formulate Hypotheses: State a null hypothesis (\(H_0\)) asserting that observed and expected frequencies are equal and an alternative hypothesis (\(H_A\)) suggesting a significant deviation.
  2. Calculate Expected Frequencies: Based on an assumed distribution or model, calculate the expected frequencies for each category.
  3. Compute Chi-Square Value: Calculate the Chi-Square value, representing the sum of squared differences between observed and expected frequencies.
  4. Determine p-Value: Compare the Chi-Square value to the Chi-Square distribution to determine the p-value.
  5. Make Decision: Based on the p-value, decide whether to reject the null hypothesis. A low p-value indicates a significant deviation.

Applications of the Chi-Square Goodness of Fit Test:

  • Genetics: Checking expected and observed ratios of genetic traits.
  • Market Research: Verifying whether the distribution of product preferences deviates from the expected distribution.
  • Quality Control: Examining whether the quality of products is consistent across different production batches.
  • Medical Research: Assessing the distribution of disease cases in various population groups.

Example:

Suppose we conduct a survey on music preferences and want to check if the observed frequencies of music genres deviate from the expected frequencies. The Chi-Square Goodness of Fit test would be applicable in this scenario.

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The importance of p-values in statistics

03/01/2024 | by Patrick Fischer, M.Sc., Founder & Data Scientist: FDS

Significance of p-Values in Statistical Hypothesis Testing

The p-value (significance level) is a crucial concept in statistical hypothesis testing. It indicates how likely it is to observe the data given that the null hypothesis is true. A low p-value suggests that the observed data is unlikely under the assumption of the null hypothesis.

Interpretation of p-Values:

  • p-Value < 0.05: In many scientific disciplines, a p-value less than 0.05 is considered statistically significant. This indicates that there is sufficient evidence to reject the null hypothesis with a certain level of confidence.
  • p-Value > 0.05: A p-value greater than 0.05 usually does not lead to the rejection of the null hypothesis. The data does not provide enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis.
  • Small p-Value: A very small p-value (e.g., p < 0.01) suggests that the observed data is highly unlikely under the null hypothesis. This is interpreted as strong evidence against the null hypothesis.
  • Larger p-Value: A larger p-value (e.g., 0.1) indicates that the observed data is less inconsistent with the null hypothesis. However, it does not necessarily confirm the null hypothesis.

Caution:

It is important to note that a non-significant p-value does not constitute evidence in favor of the null hypothesis. The absence of significance does not necessarily mean the null hypothesis is true; it could also be due to factors like inadequate sample size or other considerations.

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Multivariate / multiple Regression

03/01/2024 | by Patrick Fischer, M.Sc., Founder & Data Scientist: FDS

Multivariate regression is an extension of simple linear regression that involves using multiple independent variables to model the relationship with a dependent variable. This allows for the exploration of more complex relationships in data.

Features of Multivariate Regression:

  • Multiple Independent Variables: In contrast to simple linear regression, which uses only one independent variable, multivariate regression can consider multiple independent variables.
  • Multidimensional Equation: The equation for multivariate regression takes the form: \[ Y = \beta_0 + \beta_1X_1 + \beta_2X_2 + \ldots + \beta_pX_p + \varepsilon \]
  • Examine Interactions: Multivariate regression allows for the examination of interactions between independent variables to see if their combination has a significant impact on the dependent variable.

Applications of Multivariate Regression:

  • Econometrics: Modeling economic relationships with multiple influencing factors.
  • Medical Research: Analyzing health data considering various factors.
  • Marketing Analysis: Predicting sales figures considering multiple marketing variables.
  • Social Sciences: Investigating complex social phenomena with various influencing factors.

Example:

Suppose we want to examine the influence of advertising expenses (\(X_1\)), location (\(X_2\)), and product prices (\(X_3\)) on the revenue (\(Y\)) of a company. Multivariate regression could help us model the combined effect of these factors.

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